Lewes vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aveley wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Lewes (1,778) and Aveley (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lewes vs Aveley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lewes
Not enough data to predict the Lewes lineup.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aveley have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lewes wins, 1 draw, 3 Aveley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Aveley 0-2 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lewes 1-6 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Aveley 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Aveley 2-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Lewes 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Aveley 2-4 Lewes | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (25 points from 12 matches) and Aveley sit 16th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lewes | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 16 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Lewes vs Aveley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Aveley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Aveley played?
- Lewes vs Aveley is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026DartfordvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeatherheadvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 12, 2026WhitehawkvsEnfield Town
- Dec 12, 2026Brentwood TownvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026RamsgatevsWelling United
- Dec 12, 2026Three BridgesvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 12, 2026CheshuntvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 12, 2026Cray WanderersvsMaldon & Tiptree