Lecce vs Paganese: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 10, 2016 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
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What was the result of Lecce vs Paganese?
Lecce won 3-1 on December 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 36′F. LeporeLecce
- 43′S. CaturanoLecce
- 52′ReginaldoPaganese
- 57′F. LeporeLecce
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Paganese have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | Messina(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Matera(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Taranto(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Juve Stabia(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Vibonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Akragas(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Fondi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Foggia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecce score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Paganese | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy