Lecce vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atalanta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecce vs Atalanta?
Atalanta starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,118 vs 1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecce vs Atalanta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecce
4-3-3- 50S. Pierotti
- 22Paco Esteban
- 7A. Ahmed Fatah
- 29L. Coulibaly
- 20I. Ilić
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 30W. Falcone
Atalanta
4-3-3- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 90N. Krstović
- 13Éderson
- 19F. Kessié
- 10L. Samardžić
- 42G. Scalvini
- 16R. Bellanova
- 31T. Kristensen
- 77D. Zappacosta
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Atalanta have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lecce wins, 1 draw, 5 Atalanta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Lecce 0-3 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atalanta 4-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atalanta 1-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Lecce 0-4 Atalanta | Serie A |
| May 18, 2024 | Lecce 0-2 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Atalanta 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecce sit 13th in Serie A (6 points from 6 matches) and Atalanta sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Lecce vs Atalanta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atalanta the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Lecce vs Atalanta played?
- Lecce vs Atalanta is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.