Match

Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco

LeccoDesenzano Calvina

The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Desenzano Calvina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Lecco (1,839) and Desenzano Calvina (1,894).

44%29%27%
Lecco winDrawDesenzano Calvina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lecco

4-3-3
  1. 10A. Capello
  2. 9M. Casarotto
  3. 15Alexander Murillo
  1. 21A. Metlika
  2. 17G. Pellegrino
  3. 6A. Mallamo
  1. 99Giulio Manenti
  2. 45M. Rizzo
  3. 5M. Arena
  4. 24S. Sidler
  1. 22T. Vettorel

Desenzano Calvina

4-3-3
  1. 77Filippo Liberati
  2. 9C. Santini
  3. 10V. Millico
  1. 43L. Lupano
  2. 24K. Biondi
  3. 30A. Procaccio
  1. 6T. Panelli
  2. 70M. Parlato
  3. 19A. Pilati
  4. 3L. Giorgi
  1. 1Stefano Minelli

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Desenzano Calvina have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 16, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)5-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Alcione(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Union Brescia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Desenzano Calvina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Novara(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 28, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)1-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 25, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Alcione(away)1-4Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lecco win, 1 draw, 0 Desenzano Calvina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 17, 2026Desenzano Calvina 1-3 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Lecco 0-0 Desenzano CalvinaCoppa Italia Serie C

Last archived meeting: Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco on Sep 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Desenzano Calvina score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecco1.31.165/158/15
Desenzano Calvina0.80.976/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecco sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (17 points from 12 matches) and Desenzano Calvina sit 12th (13 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Lecco12453181117
12Desenzano Calvina12345101413

A question about Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Desenzano Calvina.
Where and when is Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina played?
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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