Match

Novara vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraLumezzane

The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lumezzane wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Lumezzane?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Novara (1,719) and Lumezzane (1,745).

33%32%35%
Novara winDrawLumezzane win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Lumezzane

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 9D. Zuppel
  3. 7E. Lanini
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Lumezzane

4-3-3
  1. 32G. Anatriello
  2. 9T. Ebone
  3. 11A. Ghillani
  1. 19M. Rolando
  2. 17Sasha Mancini
  3. 8M. Rocca
  1. 30A. Boffelli
  2. 90S. Nwachukwu
  3. 15M. Ndiaye
  4. 21J. Deratti
  1. 13L. Andrenacci

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Albinoleffe(home)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Inter(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 26, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 21, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Novara wins, 5 draws, 1 Lumezzane win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane 0-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Apr 3, 2026Novara 1-3 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 29, 2025Lumezzane 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Apr 11, 2025Lumezzane 2-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Dec 1, 2024Novara 0-0 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Mar 30, 2024Novara 1-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Novara on Sep 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara0.91.146/156/15
Lumezzane1.11.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 9 matches) and Lumezzane sit 10th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Lumezzane9333101112
14Novara92348129

A question about Novara vs Lumezzane?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Lumezzane?
The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Novara.
Where and when is Novara vs Lumezzane played?
Novara vs Lumezzane is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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