Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza
The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese?
Folgore Caratese starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Pergolettese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore Caratese score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore Caratese sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Pergolettese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese played?
- Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.