Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin?
Lechia Zielona Góra starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Świt Skolwin have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Świt Skolwin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2020 | Lechia Zielona Góra 1-4 Świt Skolwin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin on Aug 13, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Świt Skolwin sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsResovia Rzeszów
- Sep 5, 2026Tychy 71vsAvia Świdnik
- Sep 5, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Sep 5, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Sep 5, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsHutnik Kraków
- Sep 5, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Sep 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Sep 5, 2026Sokół KleczewvsGórnik Łęczna