Górnik Łęczna vs Świt Skolwin: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Świt Skolwin?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Górnik Łęczna (1,777) and Świt Skolwin (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Świt Skolwin have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Świt Skolwin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Świt Skolwin 2-3 Górnik Łęczna | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Świt Skolwin vs Górnik Łęczna on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Świt Skolwin sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Świt Skolwin?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Świt Skolwin played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Świt Skolwin is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Tychy 71vsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsAvia Świdnik
- Nov 28, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 28, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsLechia Zielona Góra
- Nov 28, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsZnicz Pruszków
- Nov 28, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsLegia Warszawa II
- Nov 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Nov 28, 2026Sokół KleczewvsZawisza Bydgoszcz