Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion BTS Rekord, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Rekord Bielsko-Biała (1,816) and Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 3-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra 1-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | II Liga - East |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1-2 Lechia Zielona Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Lechia Zielona Góra 0-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała 3-0 Lechia Zielona Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Lechia Zielona Góra 3-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Lechia Zielona Góra 1-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
- Where and when is Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?
- Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion BTS Rekord, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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