Lechia Zielona Góra vs Znicz Pruszków: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Znicz Pruszków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Znicz Pruszków?
Lechia Zielona Góra starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Znicz Pruszków have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Znicz Pruszków?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Znicz Pruszków.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Znicz Pruszków played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Znicz Pruszków is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Sep 19, 2026Tychy 71vsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Sep 19, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Sep 19, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsŚwit Skolwin
- Sep 19, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsResovia Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsHutnik Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsGórnik Łęczna
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół KleczewvsAvia Świdnik