Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Chojnice, Chojnice
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chojniczanka Chojnice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Chojniczanka Chojnice (1,882) and Olimpia Grudziądz (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 2-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-1 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Olimpia Grudziądz 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Chojniczanka Chojnice.
- Where and when is Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
- Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Chojnice, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Tychy 71vsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Sep 19, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Sep 19, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsŚwit Skolwin
- Sep 19, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsResovia Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsHutnik Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsGórnik Łęczna
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsZnicz Pruszków
- Sep 19, 2026Sokół KleczewvsAvia Świdnik