Leganés II vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leganés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-2 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Leganés II 1-3 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-3 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Leganés II 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Leganés II on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Leganés II vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on August 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.