Where and when is Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez played?

Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés II

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez?

Leganés II starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,541).

Leganés II win55 %

Draw25 %

Real Aranjuez win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leganés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2021	Real Aranjuez 1-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2020	Leganés II 1-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Leganés II on Jan 31, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez played?: Leganés II vs Real Aranjuez is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.