Leganes vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Granada CF?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Leganes (1,920) and Granada CF (1,919).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Granada CF have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leganes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Granada CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Leganes 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Granada CF 0-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
| May 27, 2023 | Granada CF 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Leganes 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jun 22, 2020 | Leganes 0-0 Granada CF | La Liga |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Granada CF 1-0 Leganes | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 9th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Granada CF sit 14th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leganes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Granada CF played?
- Leganes vs Granada CF is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.