Eldense vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Eldense (1,939) and Eibar (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Eibar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eldense win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Eibar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | Eldense 1-3 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Eibar 1-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Eibar 5-1 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Eldense 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Eibar | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 21st in Segunda División (0 points from 1 matches) and Eibar sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Eibar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Eldense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Eibar?
- The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Eibar played?
- Eldense vs Eibar is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.