Leganes vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Oviedo?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Leganes (1,930) and Oviedo (1,941).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Oviedo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Oviedo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo 0-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Leganes 0-0 Oviedo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Leganes 2-1 Oviedo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Oviedo 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Leganes 0-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Leganes 0-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Oviedo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 3rd in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Oviedo sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab model makes Leganes the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Oviedo played?
- Leganes vs Oviedo is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.