Leganes vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Oviedo?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Leganes (1,905) and Oviedo (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
5-3-2- 21Álvaro Morata
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 11Naim García
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 22Álex Sancris
- 13L. Zidane
Oviedo
4-3-2-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 10Alberto Reina
- 8Mikel Goti
- 6Dani Villahermosa
- 20Pablo Sáenz
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Oviedo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes wins, 2 draws, 2 Oviedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo 0-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Leganes 0-0 Oviedo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Leganes 2-1 Oviedo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Oviedo 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Leganes 0-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Leganes 0-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Oviedo played?
- Leganes vs Oviedo is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.