Castellón vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Las Palmas?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Las Palmas have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Castellón wins, 1 draw, 2 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas 0-3 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Las Palmas 1-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Castellón 1-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Castellón 4-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Las Palmas 2-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Castellón 0-2 Las Palmas | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Castellón on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 2nd in Segunda División (23 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Castellón vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Las Palmas played?
- Castellón vs Las Palmas is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.