Granada CF vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Leganes?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,917) and Leganes (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Leganes have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Granada CF win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leganes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Leganes 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Granada CF 0-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
| May 27, 2023 | Granada CF 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Leganes 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jun 22, 2020 | Leganes 0-0 Granada CF | La Liga |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Granada CF 1-0 Leganes | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Leganes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Leganes sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Leganes?
- The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Leganes played?
- Granada CF vs Leganes is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.