Legion vs Tallinna Kalev II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kadrioru staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Legion. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legion vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Tallinna Kalev II starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,161 vs 1,007).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legion have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Tallinna Kalev II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saku Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Legion(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Legion win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tallinna Kalev II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 3-3 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Legion 2-3 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 5-1 Legion | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Tallinna Kalev II 0-1 Legion | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 26, 2019 | Legion 4-0 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
| May 30, 2019 | Legion 2-0 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tallinna Kalev II vs Legion on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legion score 1.1 and concede 4.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tallinna Kalev II score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legion | 1.1 | 4.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legion sit 10th in Esiliiga B (12 points from 24 matches) and Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th (20 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 62 | 20 |
| 10 | Legion | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 88 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legion vs Tallinna Kalev II?
- The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Legion.
- Where and when is Legion vs Tallinna Kalev II played?
- Legion vs Tallinna Kalev II is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kadrioru staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.