JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Tabasalu Staadion, Tabasalu
The Footlab model makes Tulevik the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for JK Tabasalu. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate JK Tabasalu (1,186) and Tulevik (1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JK Tabasalu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tulevik have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 0-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 JK Tabasalu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tulevik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | JK Tabasalu 2-0 Tulevik | Esiliiga B |
| May 24, 2026 | Tulevik 3-2 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Tulevik 6-1 JK Tabasalu | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JK Tabasalu score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tulevik score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JK Tabasalu | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Tulevik | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JK Tabasalu sit 8th in Esiliiga B (29 points from 25 matches) and Tulevik sit 6th (38 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tulevik | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 52 | 38 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 67 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik?
- The Footlab model makes Tulevik the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for JK Tabasalu.
- Where and when is JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik played?
- JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Tabasalu Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.