Luunja vs Tartu Kalev: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Tartu Sepa tänava staadion, Tartu
The Footlab AI model makes Luunja the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Tartu Kalev. The most likely score is 2-2. If Luunja wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luunja vs Tartu Kalev?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Luunja (1,212) and Tartu Kalev (1,285).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luunja vs Tartu Kalev
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luunja
Not enough data to predict the Luunja lineup.
Tartu Kalev
4-3-3- 21K. Kohv
- 88M. Villems
- 28D. Lehter
- 11R. Juhanson
- 99A. Varusk
- 10K. Kaasik
- 27R. Neltsas
- 5K. Laas
- 23A. Ruul
- 8R. Mihhalevski
- 24K. Peramets
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luunja have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tartu Kalev have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 1-6 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 4-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Legion(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luunja wins, 1 draw, 3 Tartu Kalev wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Kalev 2-1 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| May 16, 2026 | Tartu Kalev 2-2 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Luunja 0-1 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tartu Kalev 1-4 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Luunja 7-1 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Luunja 1-3 Tartu Kalev | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Kalev vs Luunja on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luunja score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Kalev score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luunja | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Tartu Kalev | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luunja sit 4th in Esiliiga B (53 points from 32 matches) and Tartu Kalev sit 7th (47 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luunja | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 79 | 65 | 53 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 72 | 62 | 47 |
A question about Luunja vs Tartu Kalev?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luunja vs Tartu Kalev?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luunja the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Tartu Kalev.
- Where and when is Luunja vs Tartu Kalev played?
- Luunja vs Tartu Kalev is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Tartu Sepa tänava staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.