Legnago Salus vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Sandrini, Legnago
The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Luparense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legnago Salus vs Luparense?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Legnago Salus (1,806) and Luparense (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legnago Salus have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Luparense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Este(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vigasio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Legnago Salus win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Luparense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Luparense 1-2 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Legnago Salus 1-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Luparense 1-0 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Legnago Salus 3-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Legnago Salus 2-0 Luparense | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Luparense 2-3 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Luparense vs Legnago Salus on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legnago Salus score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legnago Salus | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Luparense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legnago Salus sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone C (61 points from 34 matches) and Luparense sit 13th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 61 |
| 13 | Luparense | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legnago Salus vs Luparense?
- The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Luparense.
- Where and when is Legnago Salus vs Luparense played?
- Legnago Salus vs Luparense is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Sandrini, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.