Mestre vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mestre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Mestre (1,676) and Calvi Noale (1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mestre vs Calvi Noale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mestre
Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.
Calvi Noale
Not enough data to predict the Calvi Noale lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Calvi Noale have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brian Lignano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Mestre wins, 0 draws, 1 Calvi Noale win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Calvi Noale 0-2 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Calvi Noale 1-2 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mestre 2-0 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Mestre 3-2 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Calvi Noale 2-1 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 4th in Serie D - Girone C (10 points from 6 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Calvi Noale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Mestre vs Calvi Noale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Calvi Noale played?
- Mestre vs Calvi Noale is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.