Leicester vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 2-1 on December 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′B. De Cordova-ReidLeicester
- 9′R. BrewsterDerby
- 41′J. JamesLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Watford(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | QPR(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Ipswich(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Derby(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Leicester(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leicester win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Derby 1-3 Leicester | Championship |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Derby 1-3 Leicester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2017 | Leicester 3-1 Derby | FA Cup |
| Jan 27, 2017 | Derby 2-2 Leicester | FA Cup |
| Jan 10, 2014 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester 2-1 Derby | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy