Leicester vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Leicester (1,933) and Mansfield Town (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
4-1-4-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 27K. Doyle
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 10th in League One (15 points from 10 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Leicester vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Mansfield Town played?
- Leicester vs Mansfield Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.