Leicester vs Derby: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th Round ReplaysKick-off on February 8, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 3-1 on February 8, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 46′A. KingLeicester
- 61′Abdoul Razzagui CamaraDerby
- 94′W. NdidiLeicester
- 114′D. GrayLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2017 | Manchester United(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Burnley(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2017 | Derby(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Southampton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Chelsea(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | Newcastle(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Ipswich(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2017 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Reading(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leicester win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2017 | Derby 2-2 Leicester | FA Cup |
| Jan 10, 2014 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester 2-1 Derby | League Cup |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Derby 2-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy