Leicester vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 24, 2013 at 06:45 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 2-1 on September 24, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 42′C. MartinDerby
- 78′A. KnockaertLeicester
- 81′Daniel Noel DrinkwaterLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2013 | Blackburn(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Wigan(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Charlton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2013 | Carlisle(away) | 5-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Reading(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2013 | Bolton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Millwall(away) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Burnley(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2013 | Brentford(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Leicester win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2013 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Derby 2-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester 4-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy