Leicester vs Derby: result 4-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 1, 2012 at 05:20 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 4-1 on December 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 7′Zak WhitbreadLeicester
- 23′M. WaghornLeicester
- 38′T. RobinsonDerby
- 74′D. NugentLeicester
- 89′D. NugentLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2012 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Bolton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2012 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Birmingham(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Leicester win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester 4-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy