Burnley vs Nottingham Forest: result 2-1 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 24, 2013 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
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What was the result of Burnley vs Nottingham Forest?
Burnley won 2-1 on September 24, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 24′M. DerbyshireNottingham Forest
- 45′D. IngsBurnley
- 68′D. IngsBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Leeds(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2013 | Birmingham(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Derby(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2013 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Doncaster(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2013 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Barnsley(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Wigan(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2013 | Millwall(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Burnley win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Nottingham Forest 2-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2012 | Nottingham Forest 0-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Burnley 5-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Nottingham Forest on Apr 1, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy