Leicester vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Leicester (1,925) and Stevenage (1,942).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs Stevenage
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
4-1-4-1- 17E. Riis
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 18O. Sanderson
- 23L. Thompson
- 27B. Broggio
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 6L. Freestone
- 1T. Setford
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stevenage have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 5-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Leicester wins, 0 draws, 1 Stevenage win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage 2-1 Leicester | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Leicester on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stevenage | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 14th in League One (9 points from 7 matches) and Stevenage sit 13th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Leicester vs Stevenage?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Stevenage played?
- Leicester vs Stevenage is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.