Mansfield Town vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,893) and Notts County (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 17D. McGoldrick
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 24R. Hendry
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 19L. Smyth
- 8O. Cooper
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 27R. Finneran
- 15J. Evans
- 42H. Mustapha
- 1J. Gibbons
- 4J. Bedeau
- 12L. Ness
- 1J. Belshaw
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Notts County have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mansfield Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Notts County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mansfield Town 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Notts County 1-4 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Notts County 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Mansfield Town 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Notts County 1-2 Mansfield Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Notts County on Feb 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Notts County | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 17th in League One (8 points from 7 matches) and Notts County sit 20th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Notts County played?
- Mansfield Town vs Notts County is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.