Peterborough vs Luton: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peterborough vs Luton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peterborough
4-2-3-1- 9H. Leonard
- 4L. Kelly
- 11O. Edwards
- 19Bolu Shofowoke
- 45Harry Ashfield
- 10Ethan Williams
- 14Harley Mills
- 2C. Johnston
- 12Joshua Feeney
- 18Lucca Mendonça
- 1A. Bass
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Luton have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 3-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Peterborough wins, 1 draw, 5 Luton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Luton 2-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Peterborough 0-2 Luton | League One |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Peterborough 0-2 Luton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Peterborough 1-1 Luton | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Luton 3-0 Peterborough | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Luton 4-0 Peterborough | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Peterborough score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterborough sit 20th in League One (8 points from 9 matches) and Luton sit 13th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Peterborough vs Luton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterborough vs Luton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Peterborough vs Luton played?
- Peterborough vs Luton is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Weston Homes Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.