Leicesterfield vs The Bees: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Leicesterfield the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for The Bees. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicesterfield vs The Bees?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Leicesterfield (1,585) and The Bees (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicesterfield have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; The Bees have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 2-4 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | The Bees(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Leicesterfield(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leicesterfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 The Bees win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | The Bees 2-1 Leicesterfield | 1st Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Leicesterfield 2-1 The Bees | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: The Bees vs Leicesterfield on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicesterfield score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; The Bees score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicesterfield | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| The Bees | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicesterfield sit 4th in 1st Division (3 points from 1 matches) and The Bees sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leicesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | The Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicesterfield vs The Bees?
- The Footlab model makes Leicesterfield the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for The Bees.
- Where and when is Leicesterfield vs The Bees played?
- Leicesterfield vs The Bees is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.