Leighton Town vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leighton Town vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Stourbridge (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Leighton Town vs Stourbridge played?
- Leighton Town vs Stourbridge is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027StamfordvsBanbury United
- Jan 16, 2027Bury TownvsAlvechurch
- Jan 16, 2027Halesowen TownvsKettering Town
- Jan 16, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsRedditch United
- Jan 16, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsReal Bedford
- Jan 16, 2027LeistonvsRacing Club Warwick
- Jan 16, 2027Peterborough SportsvsHitchin Town
- Jan 16, 2027LeamingtonvsStratford Town