Match

Leighton Town vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire

Leighton TownStourbridge

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leighton Town vs Stourbridge?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Stourbridge (1,756).

Leighton Town win51 %
Draw24 %
Stourbridge win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stourbridge2200416
7Leighton Town3120435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Stourbridge?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Leighton Town vs Stourbridge played?
Leighton Town vs Stourbridge is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leighton Town and Stourbridge

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