Stourbridge vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Bury Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bury Town 1-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Stourbridge on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Bury Town played?
- Stourbridge vs Bury Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hitchin TownvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 23, 2027AlvechurchvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 23, 2027Banbury UnitedvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Jan 23, 2027Needham MarketvsLeamington
- Jan 23, 2027Redditch UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 23, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeighton Town
- Jan 23, 2027Stratford TownvsLeiston
- Jan 23, 2027Kettering TownvsWorcester City