Match

Stourbridge vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands

StourbridgeBury Town

The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Bury Town?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Bury Town (1,848).

Stourbridge win25 %
Draw24 %
Bury Town win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Bury Town 1-1 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 9, 2025Stourbridge 2-0 Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Stourbridge on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
5Stourbridge2200416

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Stourbridge vs Bury Town played?
Stourbridge vs Bury Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stourbridge and Bury Town

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