Stourbridge vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stourbridge vs Bury Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stourbridge
Not enough data to predict the Stourbridge lineup.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bury Town have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win, 1 draw, 1 Bury Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bury Town 2-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bury Town 1-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Stourbridge on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (16 points from 12 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (30 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Bury Town played?
- Stourbridge vs Bury Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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