Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 7, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
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What was the result of Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch?
Leiston and AFC Hornchurch drew 1-1 on October 7, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Barwell(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2023 | AFC Sudbury(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Coalville Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 16, 2023 | St Albans City(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2023 | St Ives Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Aveley(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Haringey Borough(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Witham Town(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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