Leiston vs Halesowen Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Halesowen Town?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Leiston (1,786) and Halesowen Town (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Halesowen Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leiston win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Halesowen Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Halesowen Town 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Leiston 2-2 Halesowen Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Leiston 0-3 Halesowen Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Halesowen Town 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Leiston 2-1 Halesowen Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Halesowen Town 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Halesowen Town vs Leiston on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Halesowen Town score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Halesowen Town | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Halesowen Town sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Halesowen Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Halesowen Town?
- The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Halesowen Town played?
- Leiston vs Halesowen Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026StamfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 3, 2026StourbridgevsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 3, 2026Bury TownvsKettering Town
- Oct 3, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBanbury United
- Oct 3, 2026Rushall OlympicvsNeedham Market
- Oct 3, 2026Stratford TownvsAlvechurch
- Oct 3, 2026LeamingtonvsHitchin Town
- Oct 3, 2026Anstey NomadsvsReal Bedford