Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Leiston (1,790) and Bromsgrove Sporting (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leiston win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Leiston 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Leiston 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Leiston 2-3 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027StamfordvsPeterborough Sports
- Feb 20, 2027StourbridgevsNeedham Market
- Feb 20, 2027Bury TownvsRacing Club Warwick
- Feb 20, 2027Redditch UnitedvsKettering Town
- Feb 20, 2027Rushall OlympicvsReal Bedford
- Feb 20, 2027Stratford TownvsBishop's Stortford
- Feb 20, 2027LeamingtonvsBanbury United
- Feb 20, 2027Anstey NomadsvsHalesowen Town