Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Victoria Ground, Bromsgrove, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Bromsgrove Sporting (1,725) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bromsgrove Sporting have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Leiston 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Leiston 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Leiston 2-3 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Bromsgrove Sporting on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston played?
- Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Victoria Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Hitchin TownvsWorcester City
- Nov 7, 2026Halesowen TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 7, 2026AlvechurchvsLeighton Town
- Nov 7, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeamington
- Nov 7, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStratford Town
- Nov 7, 2026Needham MarketvsStourbridge
- Nov 7, 2026Peterborough SportsvsStamford
- Nov 7, 2026Kettering TownvsRedditch United