Leiston vs Kettering Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Kettering Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Leiston (1,790) and Kettering Town (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kettering Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kettering Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Leiston 4-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Kettering Town 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Leiston 0-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Kettering Town 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Kettering Town 2-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Leiston 0-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Kettering Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Kettering Town sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Kettering Town?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Kettering Town played?
- Leiston vs Kettering Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027StamfordvsHitchin Town
- Jan 30, 2027Bury TownvsReal Bedford
- Jan 30, 2027Halesowen TownvsRacing Club Warwick
- Jan 30, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsNeedham Market
- Jan 30, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsAlvechurch
- Jan 30, 2027Peterborough SportsvsStratford Town
- Jan 30, 2027LeamingtonvsRushall Olympic
- Jan 30, 2027Anstey NomadsvsStourbridge