Kettering Town vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Latimer Park, Kettering, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kettering Town vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Kettering Town (1,848) and Leiston (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kettering Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kettering Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Leiston 4-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Kettering Town 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Leiston 0-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Kettering Town 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Kettering Town 2-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Leiston 0-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Kettering Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kettering Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 2 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kettering Town vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Kettering Town vs Leiston played?
- Kettering Town vs Leiston is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Latimer Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2026Redditch UnitedvsWorcester City
- Oct 20, 2026Hitchin TownvsStamford
- Oct 20, 2026StourbridgevsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 20, 2026AlvechurchvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 20, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeighton Town
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
- Oct 20, 2026Stratford TownvsPeterborough Sports