Leiston vs Peterborough Sports: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Peterborough Sports. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Peterborough Sports?
Leiston starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Peterborough Sports have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leiston win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Peterborough Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2023 | Leiston 1-4 Peterborough Sports | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Peterborough Sports on Nov 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough Sports score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Peterborough Sports | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Peterborough Sports sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Peterborough Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Peterborough Sports.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Peterborough Sports played?
- Leiston vs Peterborough Sports is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 21, 2026Redditch UnitedvsRacing Club Warwick
- Sep 22, 2026StamfordvsBishop's Stortford
- Sep 22, 2026StourbridgevsReal Bedford
- Sep 22, 2026Bury TownvsHitchin Town
- Sep 22, 2026Rushall OlympicvsKettering Town
- Sep 22, 2026Stratford TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Sep 22, 2026LeamingtonvsHalesowen Town
- Sep 22, 2026Anstey NomadsvsAlvechurch