Match

Stourbridge vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands

StourbridgeReal Bedford

The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?

Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,751).

Stourbridge win15 %
Draw18 %
Real Bedford win66 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Real Bedford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stratford Town(home)6-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Banbury United(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leamington(home)4-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hertford Town(home)11-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Stourbridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Bedford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Stourbridge 2-1 Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 21, 2025Real Bedford 3-1 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Real Bedford on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15
Real Bedford3.51.5212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Bedford3300939
5Stourbridge2200416

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Stourbridge vs Real Bedford played?
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stourbridge and Real Bedford

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