Leningradets vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leningradets vs Spartak Kostroma?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Leningradets (1,751) and Spartak Kostroma (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leningradets have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leningradets win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spartak Kostroma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 0-1 Leningradets | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Leningradets 2-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Leningradets 2-0 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Leningradets | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Leningradets 3-0 Spartak Kostroma | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 5, 2023 | Spartak Kostroma 0-2 Leningradets | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets on Jun 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leningradets sit 16th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 8th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 16 | Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leningradets vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is Leningradets vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- Leningradets vs Spartak Kostroma is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petrovskiy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.