Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,843) and FC Sochi (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Sochi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Sochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | FC Sochi 2-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| May 31, 2025 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| May 28, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Sochi 6-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Sochi | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (21 points from 8 matches) and FC Sochi sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.