Leningradets vs Volga Ulyanovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Leningradets the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leningradets vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Leningradets (1,752) and Volga Ulyanovsk (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leningradets have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Volga Ulyanovsk have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leningradets win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk 2-2 Leningradets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Leningradets 1-3 Volga Ulyanovsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Volga Ulyanovsk 3-0 Leningradets | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Leningradets 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets on Jan 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leningradets sit 16th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Volga Ulyanovsk sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leningradets vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
- The Footlab model makes Leningradets the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Leningradets vs Volga Ulyanovsk played?
- Leningradets vs Volga Ulyanovsk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petrovskiy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.