Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Urozhaj, Karavaevo
The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Spartak Kostroma (1,841) and Chelyabinsk (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Kostroma have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Kostroma win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chelyabinsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 3-3 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| May 18, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 1-5 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 3-1 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Spartak Kostroma 0-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 3-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Kostroma sit 8th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk played?
- Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Urozhaj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.