FC Sochi vs Leningradets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Sochi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Leningradets?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,830) and Leningradets (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs Leningradets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 4V. Litvinov
- 51T. Mitrov
Leningradets
5-3-2- 32A. Kulishev
- 11D. Yakovlev
- 2S. Nikolaev
- 6D. Rodin
- 10E. Zarypbekov
- 4R. Kudryavtsev
- 44N. Kalugin
- 37K. Isaev
- 3E. Botaka-Yoboma
- 19A. Maksetsov
- 96A. Kuznetsov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leningradets have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-6 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FC Sochi win, 1 draw, 2 Leningradets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets 2-1 FC Sochi | First League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | FC Sochi 1-1 Leningradets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 6, 2023 | FC Sochi 4-1 Leningradets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Leningradets 4-0 FC Sochi | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Leningradets vs FC Sochi on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (26 points from 13 matches) and Leningradets sit 14th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 13 |
A question about FC Sochi vs Leningradets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Leningradets?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Leningradets played?
- FC Sochi vs Leningradets is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.