Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: result 1-0 and analysis
Trophée des ChampionsFinalKick-off on August 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
Full time
What was the result of Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Lens won 1-0 on August 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′F. ThauvinLens
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Paris Saint Germain win at 55%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 1-0.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-0 | Como Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 17, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lens win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Paris Saint Germain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Lens 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lens 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Lens 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | Coupe de France |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lens 0-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lens score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy