Lentigione vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Immergas Stadium - Levantini, Lentigione
The Footlab model makes Lentigione the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lentigione vs Crema?
Lentigione starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lentigione have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Crema have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Trevigliese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lentigione win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Crema win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Crema 0-1 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Lentigione 3-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Lentigione 2-1 Crema | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Lentigione 2-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Crema 1-1 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Lentigione 2-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lentigione score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lentigione | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lentigione sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone D (73 points from 34 matches) and Crema sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 73 |
| 11 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 47 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lentigione vs Crema?
- The Footlab model makes Lentigione the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Crema.
- Where and when is Lentigione vs Crema played?
- Lentigione vs Crema is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.